LED illuminates sex price

LED illuminates sex price ratio to raise day by day
A, Haitz laws guide the industry developed a direction to successfully predict the growth of the semi-conductor industry index number speed and there is exactly the same Haitz laws in the LED industry at past half the laws of Mo Er in the century.According to Haitz laws, the LED single packs biggestly only the flux is risen with every 10 years 2000% speeds and flow clear cost to quickly descend by every 10 years 1000% speeds each time in the meantime.Haitz laws in the past 40 years successful predicted a LED development of speed, in recent years white light LED of rapid the development even outran Haitz laws.

Currently white light LED is again divided into two major types according to color, 1 type is cold white light, show color index number 70-80, color is between 4700-7000 Ks;Another is warm white light, show color index number 80-90, color is between 2500-3800 Ks.The warm white light only falls behind 20%-30% than the cold white on the radiation currently, from habitually up say, big part of Asian guo jias inclining toward use color is lower warm white light, the difference of radiation may cause warm white light LED illuminate market late in cold white light LED the market start.

Two, LED illuminates cost to continuously quickly descend

The high cost that LED illuminates is the main bottleneck that the check and supervision market permeates to lead to promote currently.According to Haitz laws, LED flows clear cost to descend annually each time of range is 20.6%, descend every 3 years around half, actually descend of the speed want sooner.LED is mainly to illuminate using of equipments cost to come from both side:(because the life span grows to take no account of replacing cost very much)A time of purchase cost and usage cost.A time of purchase cost can be flowed clear price with the unit to measure and descend to come from both side:1)the dollar spare part brought for producing technique progress and scale pack with applied the cost descend;2)the radiation promote to cause to shine on one degree bottom LED equally an amount|the power demanding decrease.But the descending of usage cost receive benefit promote to cause at the radiation of can consume decrease.The definition that checks against clear cost according to the international lighting engineering association(IES) takes no account of a lamp to replace and supports expenses:(The unit flows clear)illuminate cost=(the unit flows clear) purchase cost|life span+(the unit flows clear)can consume x electricity charges

According to American energy department the solid illuminate development route diagram in 2011, in 2010 LED lamp purchase cost for USD 50|thousand flow clear, use the cost as 14.1 Ws|thousand flow clear, each thousand flow the clear total lighting cost as USD 0.0053|hour.The purchase cost to 2015 LED lamp lowers to USD 10|thousand flow clear, the year all descends 27.5% and uses cost to lower to a 6.8 Ws|thousand flow clear, always illuminate cost to lower to each thousand flow clear USD 0.0019|hour, year all reduction is 18.5%.

We think, although the fast- descending price of article will make the earnings level that packs a manufacturer of upper stream chip and resulted in temporary influence, to the whole LED the lighting industry but speech benefit is bigger than a fraud.Once comparing with traditional lighting is high of purchase cost, open a stage in the market always is LED the lighting permeate to lead the initial obstacle for promoting, while chip and pack cost to have LED respectively lamp 12% and 23%, part of productivity excess soon drive the market demands digest stired up for descending cost.

Three, the company illuminates a big scope application condition with lighting and industry the maturity is already
Illuminate to develop route diagram according to the American energy department solid, the fluorescent lamp average price presses USD 4|thousand flow clear calculation, the service life computes by 8000 hours;The LED unit flows a shining on of clear creation the degree press fluorescent lamp 1.300% calculations, in 2011 LED the lamp whole radiation for 88 flow clear|tile, price for USD 30|thousand flow clear, the service life is 20,000 hours;The electricity charges is USD 0.2|kilowatt-hour, in 2011 illuminate cost is a 60 lms|76% of W fluorescent lamp, decline to 38% then in 2015;In 2011 illuminate cost is a 80 lms|97% of W fluorescent lamp, decline to 49% then in 2015.

Will be LED and tradition to illuminate excess fare to descend quickest for 2011-2012 years time segment, the LED lighting permeates a rate will the growth in this period creation cross over type.According to our measure to calculate, with USD|lm for measure unit, illuminates cost in around 2012 LED will decline to 2 times that of fluorescent lamp, such as LED opposite fluorescent lamp about 2.500% life span calculation at inside, will make the total cost that illuminates in around 2012 LED led to illuminate at the fluorescent lamp.Therefore, we think LED illuminates of large-scale act for will order while starting for 2011 the end of the year and 2012 the beginning of the yearses, willing be the important investment to illuminate the industry to LED for 2011-2012 years.

Equally will repeat process like this in acting for LED light source, LED illuminates a product of act for first in the business, industrial realm occurrence, after getting a good model function, again gradually universal go to domestic expenses illuminate realm.The traditional lighting includes a fluorescent lamp, incandescent lamp, halogen lamp and HID currently, each 36%, 23%, 16% and 13% that have a general lighting revenue.Along with the incandescent lamp is in all countries of forbidden, fluorescent lamp for acting for incandescent lamp, LED light to the incandescent lamp and the fluorescent lamp's acting for will be synchronously carry on.