Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Internet in 2020

The realization generates electricity side proper price to get to the Internet in 2020
"Route diagram" data suggests that comprehensive international estimate of majority of organizations, the light Fu generates electricity of the electricity price will attain a dollar every kilowatt-hour the following in around 2015, 2020 year agos after carry out the proper price of generating electricity the side to get to the Internet.

"The solar energy generates electricity cost to year by year descend, we anticipate fire electricity till 2020 of generate electricity cost and solar energy to generate electricity cost to jump together" Wang Si become mean on the public lecturer.
Become introduction according to Wang Si, according to our country only the Fu industry current development trend, promote further along with the technique with material of overall domestic turn, till 2015, the early investment attains 12,000 dollars each kilowatt and generates electricity cost less than a dollar each kilowatt, is going together with electricity side to attain proper price to completely have confidence realization on the Internet first;After effort, the 2020 the beginning of the years investment attains 10,000 dollars each kilowatt and generates electricity cost to attain 0.6 dollars every kilowatt-hour, at generate electricity a side to attain proper price to get to the Internet is also completely probably.

"Route diagram" anticipates, till 2014, the industry and business industry is used electricity price to exceed light Fu to generate electricity to give or get an electric shock price on the Internet first, the solar energy initiative carries out proper price to get to the Internet;The family is used an electricity in 2018 price exceed only the Fu generate electricity to give or get an electric shock price on the Internet, can also carry out the proper price of terminal consumption to get to the Internet;Till 2021 after, the fire electricity electricity price soars till 0.68 dollars every kilowatt-hour, exceed light the Fu generate electricity of give or get an electric shock price to attain the proper price of generating electricity the side to get to the Internet on the Internet.

However, according to understanding, there is industry insider thinking, the light Fu generates electricity cost and fire electricity unanimously to arrive 5 years in advance.That personage thinks that in consideration of inflation and resources limit a problem, the fire electricity cost will year by year soar, the foreland fire electricity degree electricity cost or higher, anticipate in 2015 two the cost will jump together.

The solar energy generates electricity to welcome a large-scale development period
About five in the last yearses, light Fu's generating electricity a technique has already been tended to maturity, the conversion rate of Huo battery annually with 0.4% arrive 0.5% speed is promoting, much crystal Huo only the average of the Fu module factory efficiency at 16.5% arrive 16.8%, still have opportunity to raise two percentage points for the coming 2-3 yearses, the life span of the battery module has already raised till more than 25 yearses.Because the technique innovation, scale effect and world produce the whole development of chain, the cost of the Huo slice, battery, module and system is continuously descending.

According to know, the solar cell shares above 60% that the light Fu generates electricity system cost, lowering the cost of solar cell is the main path that lowers solar energy to generate electricity cost.From this, solar energy's generating electricity has already had the condition of the large-scale development.

China can the renewable energy learned vice- chairman of the board Meng Xian Gan to say, "generate electricity cost to continuously lower in the light Fu, and in the 2020 realization generate electricity after lateral proper price get to the Internet, large-scale usage will open."
Medium the hurl adviser energy profession researcher allows Hao to rather point out, once light the Fu carry out proper price to get to the Internet and mean light the Fu business enterprise have never needed to depend on a subsidy to acquire earnings.Under the sistuation that the proper price gets to the Internet, the light Fu generates electricity will obtain and coal electricity equal of cost advantage, the light Fu generates electricity of the environmental protection advantage is what coal electricity cans not compare to.

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